Jonah Keri talking MLB prop bets:
Chicago White Sox
Adam Dunn: Total HR’s in the 2012 Regular Season
Plexiglas! It’s hard to know what to do with the worst year ever recorded by a good player. The end of baseball season is in some ways an arbitrary end point, and it’s entirely possible that Dunn is cooked, and that six months away from regular-season baseball won’t help. But unless you hear about a major, lingering injury, the smart money is on our old friend regression toward the mean. The White Sox roster is stuffed with boom-or-bust players like Dunn (Alex Rios, Dayan Viciedo, Gordon Beckham), making this a sneaky sleeper team is just about everything breaks right.
25.5?!? C’mon! I understand the guy was terrible last year, but that number is so low! Here is a list of guys who hit at least 25 homers last year: Vernon Wells, Asdrubal Cabrera, Alfonso Soriano, JJ Hardy and Lance Berkman.
I think people are too down on the White Sox. This is just another example.